Abstract

MUNOZ HENRIQUEZ, Erik Mauricio  and  GALVEZ-GAMBOA, Francisco A.. Contagion effect of the USA market on Latin American financial markets during the COVID-19 pandemic. Cuad. Econ. [online]. 2021, vol.40, n.spe85, pp.1091-1111.  Epub Oct 04, 2022. ISSN 0121-4772.  https://doi.org/10.15446/cuad.econ.v40n85.93352.

This paper analyses the contagion effect on Latin American markets and the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic using the DCC-GARCH model. The main finding is the determination of the existence of a statistically significant contagion effect between the US and the markets of Chile, Peru, Colombia, Mexico, and Brazil during the crisis period, implying that these markets were exposed to external shocks during the COVID-19 pandemic. Particularly, Mexico and Brazil have a stronger link to the U.S. market. In addition, the volatility of the U.S. market has a significant effect on the conditional correlations of the Latin American markets.

Keywords : COVID-19; dynamic conditional correlation; financial markets; Latin America; volatility.

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