Abstract

DALL'AGNOL, Augusto C.  and  DUARTE, Érico E.. Military Power and Conventional Deterrence: A Literature Review. rev.relac.int.estrateg.segur. [online]. 2022, vol.17, n.1, pp.101-118.  Epub June 30, 2022. ISSN 1909-3063.  https://doi.org/10.18359/ries.5793.

This literature review explains how strategies of deterrence and compellence relate to military power. Such an inquiry is relevant as much of the literature on military power diffusion focuses exclusively on military platforms and weapons systems. Hence, we advance a more political and strategic approach rather than a more technological approach while assessing military power. The article uses "costs" and "probability of success" to assess conventional deterrence. Although both compellence and deterrence are coercive strategies, they have different implications for the diffusion of military power, especially because of the costs associated with each one. We argue that countries should not replicate or pursue a carbon copy of all the top platforms and advanced weapons systems of a leading state to catch up or to deny the advantages of technological innovation. Hence, denial strategies are much cheaper than control strategies. Finally, denial strategies often result in a decrease in the probability of success in the battlefield of an expeditionary force offensive. The review concludes that military power should relate much more to deterrence than compellence, countering the conventional Dahl's notion that power is the ability of "A" to cause "B" to do something that "B" otherwise would not do. In other words, military power must be seen as "A" convincing "B" not to initiate a specific action because the perceived benefits to "B" do not justify the potential costs and risks.

Keywords : Military power; coercion; conventional deterrence; compellence; South America.

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