Resumo

TAPASCO-ALZATE, Omar Alberto; RUIZ-ORTEGA, Francisco Javier; OSORIO-GARCIA, David  e  RAMIREZ-RAMIREZ, Diogenes. The High School Academic Record as University Performance Predictive Factor. Rev. colomb. educ. [online]. 2021, n.81, pp.147-169.  Epub 03-Abr-2022. ISSN 0120-3916.  https://doi.org/10.17227/rce.num81-7530.

This research article investigates the predictive power that high school academic performance has on academic success in university, as well as some of the implications of its incorporation in the university admission process. The population for this research were students who entered the University of Caldas in the years 2011-2012. Multiple regression models and the calculation of the relative importance of the return variables were used to measure their predictive capacity. A comparative analysis of the incidence that the results in the Icfes Pruebas Saber has on the reproduction of social inequalities was carried out. The model obtained considers high school performance and admission score as predictive variables of university success, accounting for 18.3% of the total variability of the data. The relative importance shows that 78.3% is attributed to high school performance and 21.7% to the admission score. The results obtained are consistent with multiple investigations in the area, so the recommendation aims to incorporate high school academic performance in the admission processes of higher education institutions.

Palavras-chave : academic admission; academic performance; prediction; educational statistics; regression analysis.

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