Resumo

SANHUEZA-AROS, Jaime  e  PENA-CORTES, Fernando. Use of strategic foresight, spatial planning and impact assessment for the sustainability of agricultural systems. rev.udcaactual.divulg.cient. [online]. 2022, vol.25, n.spe, e2148.  Epub 01-Jun-2022. ISSN 0123-4226.  https://doi.org/10.31910/rudca.v25.nsupl.1.2022.2148.

The complexity and uncertainty of transforming future agricultural production systems into sustainable systems require holistic and prospective evaluations that understand the dynamic interactions between agriculture, the economy, society, and the environment. In this sense, holistic models need that include strategic foresight and territorial development in evaluating the sustainability of these systems on a regional scale. This document, through bibliographic analysis: 1) identifies the advances in strategic foresight, land use planning, and land impact assessments in the agricultural context and comprehensive approaches to assessing agricultural sustainability at a regional scale; and, 2) it generates the bases for a new approach to the evaluation of the sustainability of the agricultural system on a regional scale and territorial development based on the advances identified. The results show that strategic foresight, spatial planning, and territorial impact evaluations have advanced in a comprehensive approach, providing a vision and strategic evaluation of the systems. The establishment of good governance, the co-creation of strategic scenarios, homogeneous units in planning, the wide availability of environmental and social data with a spatial and temporal resolution, and the inclusion of new ones are considered success factors-analytical and computational tools. The projection of the work links the objectives of the evaluation of agricultural systems for sustainable territorial development in a comprehensive action framework.

Palavras-chave : Agricultural sustainability; Spatial planning; Territorial strategic vision; Territorial impact assessment; Territorial development.

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