Resumo

GONZALEZ GARCIA, Luis Miguel; VIGA JUAREZ, Cesar Alonso  e  FIERRO MARTINEZ, Santiago David. Prospecting SMEs Company operating risk in Colombia. suma neg. [online]. 2017, vol.8, n.18, pp.79-87. ISSN 2215-910X.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sumneg.2017.11.004.

The objective of this work seeks to anticipate possible future scenarios (bankruptcy or financial stability), of the participating companies in this study (SME’s), for which it has been analyzed operational risk on the basis of the financial indicators (variables of study). Thus, it has used a tool considered within the field of Artificial Intelligence (AI), knowing as: “Rough Sets methodology”, wich one is known within the field of finance, as indicators of corporate bankruptcy or failure.

With the analysis of a sample of SME’s in operation and another of companies already broken, this methodology generates a “decision rules” (criteria) that are used to evaluate other companies operating at same time that this study, and anticipate their probable bankruptcy or financial stability. For this work resulted in a distribution of likely scenarios for the universe of almost 1.5 million Colombian SME’s.

Palavras-chave : Rough set; Prospective analysis; Operative risk; SMEs; Bankruptcy.

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